10.11.12 Lecture Series THURSDAY: Keith Bartholomew, “Bounding Uncertainty: Scenario Analysis and Peak Oil”

Keith Bartholomew, “Bounding Uncertainty: Scenario Analysis and Peak Oil”

Date – March 8, 2012

Time – 5:00 PM – 7:00 PM

Place – The Leonardo, Salt Lake City, Utah

Part of the 10.11.12. Lecture Series, which features 10 urban planning professors in 2011-12.

Free and open to the public. Refreshments will be served.

The future is, of course, unknowable. Yet planning has often been based on a single set of assumptions about the future. In an era of increasing volatility, especially with respect to global environmental and economic conditions, we need to develop a new structure that explicitly and constructively incorporates uncertainty. Scenario analysis, a method already familiar to many planners, is one approach that might be adapted to provide this framework.

Keith Bartholomew is the Associate Dean at CA+P, Associate Professor in the Department of City & Metropolitan Planning, and Adjunct Assistant Professor of Family & Consumer Studies. An environmental lawyer, Bartholomew received his Juris Doctor from the University of Oregon and worked for ten years as a staff attorney for 1000 Friends of Oregon, a community development and land use planning advocacy organization in Portland. While at 1000 Friends, he was the director of “Making the Land Use, Transportation, Air Quality Connection” (LUTRAQ), a nationally recognized research program examining the interactive effects of community development patterns and travel behavioral patterns. Bartholomew is also the former associate director of the Wallace Stegner Center for Land, Resources and the Environment at the U of U’s S.J. Quinney College of Law.

Bartholomew’s current primary research focus is assessing the extent and nature of land use–transportation scenario planning in U.S. metropolitan areas. Additional research work is focused on accessibility based transportation planning processes, legal issues inherent in transit-oriented development, public participation in transit facility design, the use of expert panels in transportation analysis, and the use of values-based communications in planning and urban design processes.

Bartholomew teaches courses in planning law and honors-level introductory planning and architecture. He is a member of Oregon State Bar and the American Planning Association and is a Trustee for the Utah Transit Authority.

The 10.11.12 lecture series is generously supported by APA Utah, EPG, FFKR Architects, Salt Lake City Corporation, the Utah Center for Architecture, and  VODA Landscape + Planning.